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180 Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications Eric T. DeWeaver, Cecilia M. Bitz, and L.-Bruno Tremblay (Eds.)

181 Midlatitude Ionospheric Dynamics and Disturbances Paul M. Kintner, Jr., Anthea J. Coster, Tim Fuller‐Rowell, Anthony J. Mannucci, Michael Mendillo, and Roderick Heelis (Eds.)

182 The Stromboli Volcano: An Integrated Study of the 2002–2003 Eruption Sonia Calvari, Salvatore Inguaggiato, Giuseppe Puglisi, Maurizio Ripepe, and Mauro Rosi (Eds.)

183 Carbon Sequestration and Its Role in the Global Carbon Cycle Brian J. McPherson and Eric T. Sundquist (Eds.)

184 Carbon Cycling in Northern Peatlands Andrew J. Baird, Lisa R. Belyea, Xavier Comas, A. S. Reeve, and Lee D. Slater (Eds.)

185 Indian Ocean Biogeochemical Processes and Ecological Variability Jerry D. Wiggert, Raleigh R. Hood, S. Wajih A. Naqvi, Kenneth H. Brink, and Sharon L. Smith (Eds.)

186 Amazonia and Global Change Michael Keller, Mercedes Bustamante, John Gash, and Pedro Silva Dias (Eds.)

187 Surface Ocean–Lower Atmosphere Processes Corinne Le Quèrè and Eric S. Saltzman (Eds.)

188 Diversity of Hydrothermal Systems on Slow Spreading Ocean Ridges Peter A. Rona, Colin W. Devey, Jérôme Dyment, and Bramley J. Murton (Eds.)

189 Climate Dynamics: Why Does Climate Vary? De‐Zheng Sun and Frank Bryan (Eds.)

190 The Stratosphere: Dynamics, Transport, and Chemistry L. M. Polvani, A. H. Sobel, and D. W. Waugh (Eds.)

191 Rainfall: State of the Science Firat Y. Testik and Mekonnen Gebremichael (Eds.)

192 Antarctic Subglacial Aquatic Environments Martin J. Siegert, Mahlon C. Kennicut II, and Robert A. Bindschadler (Eds.)

193 Abrupt Climate Change: Mechanisms, Patterns, and Impacts Harunur Rashid, Leonid Polyak, and Ellen Mosley‐Thompson (Eds.)

194 Stream Restoration in Dynamic Fluvial Systems: Scientific Approaches, Analyses, and Tools Andrew Simon, Sean J. Bennett, and Janine M. Castro (Eds.)

195 Monitoring and Modeling the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill: A Record‐Breaking Enterprise Yonggang Liu, Amy MacFadyen, Zhen‐Gang Ji, and Robert H. Weisberg (Eds.)

196 Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective A. Surjalal Sharma, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, and Daniel N. Baker (Eds.)

197 Auroral Phenomenology and Magnetospheric Processes: Earth and Other Planets Andreas Keiling, Eric Donovan, Fran Bagenal, and Tomas Karlsson (Eds.)

198 Climates, Landscapes, and Civilizations Liviu Giosan, Dorian Q. Fuller, Kathleen Nicoll, Rowan K. Flad, and Peter D. Clift (Eds.)

199 Dynamics of the Earth’s Radiation Belts and Inner Magnetosphere Danny Summers, Ian R. Mann, Daniel N. Baker, and Michael Schulz (Eds.)

200 Lagrangian Modeling of the Atmosphere John Lin (Ed.)

201 Modeling the Ionosphere‐Thermosphere Jospeh D. Huba, Robert W. Schunk, and George V. Khazanov (Eds.)

202 The Mediterranean Sea: Temporal Variability and Spatial Patterns Gian Luca Eusebi Borzelli, Miroslav Gacic, Piero Lionello, and Paola Malanotte‐Rizzoli (Eds.)

203 Future Earth – Advancing Civic Understanding of the Anthropocene Diana Dalbotten, Gillian Roehrig, and Patrick Hamilton (Eds.)

204 The Galápagos: A Natural Laboratory for the Earth Sciences Karen S. Harpp, Eric Mittelstaedt, Noémi d’Ozouville, and David W. Graham (Eds.)

205 Modeling Atmospheric and Oceanic Flows: Insightsfrom Laboratory Experiments and Numerical Simulations Thomas von Larcher and Paul D. Williams (Eds.)

206 Remote Sensing of the Terrestrial Water Cycle Venkat Lakshmi (Ed.)

207 Magnetotails in the Solar System Andreas Keiling, Caitríona Jackman, and Peter Delamere (Eds.)

208 Hawaiian Volcanoes: From Source to Surface Rebecca Carey, Valerie Cayol, Michael Poland, and Dominique Weis (Eds.)

209 Sea Ice: Physics, Mechanics, and Remote Sensing Mohammed Shokr and Nirmal Sinha (Eds.)

210 Fluid Dynamics in Complex Fractured‐Porous Systems Boris Faybishenko, Sally M. Benson, and John E. Gale (Eds.)

211 Subduction Dynamics: From Mantle Flow to Mega Disasters Gabriele Morra, David A. Yuen, Scott King, Sang Mook Lee, and Seth Stein (Eds.)

212 The Early Earth: Accretion and Differentiation James Badro and Michael Walter (Eds.)

213 Global Vegetation Dynamics: Concepts and Applications in the MC1 Model Dominique Bachelet and David Turner (Eds.)

214 Extreme Events: Observations, Modeling and Economics Mario Chavez, Michael Ghil, and Jaime Urrutia‐Fucugauchi (Eds.)

215 Auroral Dynamics and Space Weather Yongliang Zhang and Larry Paxton (Eds.)

216 Low‐Frequency Waves in Space Plasmas Andreas Keiling, Dong‐Hun Lee, and Valery Nakariakov (Eds.)

217 Deep Earth: Physics and Chemistry of the Lower Mantle and Core Hidenori Terasaki and Rebecca A. Fischer (Eds.)

218 Integrated Imaging of the Earth: Theory and Applications Max Moorkamp, Peter G. Lelievre, Niklas Linde, and Amir Khan (Eds.)

219 Plate Boundaries and Natural Hazards Joao Duarte and Wouter Schellart (Eds.)

220 Ionospheric Space Weather: Longitude and Hemispheric Dependences and Lower Atmosphere Forcing Timothy Fuller‐Rowell, Endawoke Yizengaw, Patricia H. Doherty, and Sunanda Basu (Eds.)

221 Terrestrial Water Cycle and Climate Change Natural and Human‐Induced Impacts Qiuhong Tang and Taikan Oki (Eds.)

222 Magnetosphere‐Ionosphere Coupling in the Solar System Charles R. Chappell, Robert W. Schunk, Peter M. Banks, James L. Burch, and Richard M. Thorne (Eds.)

223 Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment: Modeling and Decision Support Karin Riley, Peter Webley, and Matthew Thompson (Eds.)

224 Hydrodynamics of Time‐Periodic Groundwater Flow: Diffusion Waves in Porous Media Joe S. Depner and Todd C. Rasmussen (Auth.)

225 Active Global Seismology Ibrahim Cemen and Yucel Yilmaz (Eds.)

226 Climate Extremes Simon Wang (Ed.)

227 Fault Zone Dynamic Processes Marion Thomas (Ed.)

228 Flood Damage Survey and Assessment: New Insights from Research and Practice Daniela Molinari, Scira Menoni, and Francesco Ballio (Eds.)

229 Water‐Energy‐Food Nexus – Principles and Practices P. Abdul Salam, Sangam Shrestha, Vishnu Prasad Pandey, and Anil K Anal (Eds.)

230 Dawn–Dusk Asymmetries in Planetary Plasma Environments Stein Haaland, Andrei Rounov, and Colin Forsyth (Eds.)

231 Bioenergy and Land Use Change Zhangcai Qin, Umakant Mishra, and Astley Hastings (Eds.)

232 Microstructural Geochronology: Planetary Records Down to Atom Scale Desmond Moser, Fernando Corfu, James Darling, Steven Reddy, and Kimberly Tait (Eds.)

233 Global Flood Hazard: Applications in Modeling, Mapping and Forecasting Guy Schumann, Paul D. Bates, Giuseppe T. Aronica, and Heiko Apel (Eds.)

234 Pre‐Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies Dimitar Ouzounov, Sergey Pulinets, Katsumi Hattori, and Patrick Taylor (Eds.)

235 Electric Currents in Geospace and Beyond Andreas Keiling, Octav Marghitu, and Michael Wheatland (Eds.)

Geophysical Monograph 236


 

Quantifying Uncertainty in Subsurface Systems

Céline Scheidt
Lewis Li
Jef Caers

 

 

 

This Work is a co‐publication of the American Geophysical Union and John Wiley and Sons, Inc.

 

 

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AUTHORS

Céline Scheidt
Senior Research Engineer
Departments of Energy Resources Engineering
Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

Lewis Li
Doctoral Student
Departments of Energy Resources Engineering
Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

Jef Caers
Professor of Geological Sciences
Director, Stanford Center for Earth Resources Forecasting
Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

CONTRIBUTORS

Ognjen Grujic
Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

Thomas Hermans
University of Liege, Liege, Belgium

Kate Maher
Department of Geological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

Jihoon Park
Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

Carla Da Silva
Anadarko, The Woodlands, TX, USA

Troels Norvin Vilhelmsen
Department of Geoscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

Guang Yang
Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA