Details

<p>Preface<br /> <i>A. Surjalal Sharma, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, and Daniel N. Baker</i> vii</p> <p>Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences: An Overview<br /> <i>A. Surjalal Sharma, Daniel N. Baker, Archana Bhattacharyya, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, Harsh K. Gupta, Vijay K. Gupta, Shaun Lovejoy, Ian G. Main, Daniel Schertzer, Hans von Storch, and Nicholas W. Watkins</i> 1</p> <p><b>Section I: Solid Earth</b></p> <p>Earthquakes: Complexity and Extreme Events<br /> <i>M. R. Yoder, D. L. Turcotte, and J. B. Rundle</i> 17</p> <p>Patterns of Seismicity Found in the Generalized Vicinity of a Strong Earthquake: Agreement With Common Scenarios of Instability Development<br /> <i>M. V. Rodkin</i> 27</p> <p>Characterizing Large Events and Scaling in Earthquake Models With Inhomogeneous Damage<br /> <i>Rachele Dominguez, Kristy Tiampo, C. A. Serino, and W. Klein</i> 41</p> <p>Fractal Dimension and b Value Mapping Before and After the 2004 Megathrust Earthquake in the Andaman-Sumatra Subduction Zone<br /> <i>Sohini Roy, Uma Ghosh, Sugata Hazra, and J. R. Kayal</i> 55</p> <p>Stress Pulse Migration by Viscoelastic Process for Long-Distance Delayed Triggering of Shocks in Gujarat, India, After the 2001 Mw 7.7 Bhuj Earthquake<br /> <i>B. K. Rastogi, Pallabee Choudhury, Rakesh Dumka, K. M. Sreejith, and T. J. Majumdar</i> 63</p> <p>Extreme Seismic Events in Models of Lithospheric Block-and-Fault Dynamics<br /> <i>A. T. Ismail-Zadeh, J.-L. Le Mouël, and A. A. Soloviev</i> 75</p> <p><b>Section II: Oceans</b></p> <p>Investigation of Past and Future Polar Low Frequency in the North Atlantic<br /> <i>Matthias Zahn and Hans von Storch</i> 99</p> <p>Variability of North Atlantic Hurricanes: Seasonal Versus Individual-Event Features<br /> <i>Álvaro Corral and Antonio Turiel</i> 111</p> <p>Large-Scale Patterns in Hurricane-Driven Shoreline Change<br /> <i>Eli D. Lazarus, Andrew D. Ashton, and A. Brad Murray</i> 127</p> <p><b>Section III: Atmosphere</b></p> <p>Precipitation and River Flow: Long-Term Memory and Predictability of Extreme Events<br /> <i>Armin Bunde, Mikhail I. Bogachev, and Sabine Lennartz</i> 139</p> <p>Extreme Events and Trends in the Indian Summer Monsoon<br /> <i>V. Krishnamurthy</i> 153</p> <p>Empirical Orthogonal Function Spectra of Extreme Temperature Variability Decoded From Tree Rings of the Western Himalayas<br /> <i>R. K. Tiwari, R. R. Yadav, and K. P. C. Kaladhar Rao</i> 169</p> <p>On the Estimation of Natural and Anthropogenic Trends in Climate Records<br /> <i>S. Lennartz and A. Bunde</i> 177</p> <p>Climate Subsystems: Pacemakers of Decadal Climate Variability<br /> <i>Anastasios A. Tsonis</i> 191</p> <p>Dynamical System Exploration of the Hurst Phenomenon in Simple Climate Models<br /> <i>O. J. Mesa, V. K. Gupta, and P. E. O’Connell</i> 209</p> <p>Low-Frequency Weather and the Emergence of the Climate<br /> <i>S. Lovejoy and D. Schertzer</i> 231</p> <p><b>Section IV: Geospace</b></p> <p>Extreme Space Weather: Forecasting Behavior of a Nonlinear Dynamical System<br /> <i>D. N. Baker</i> 255</p> <p>Supermagnetic Storms: Hazard to Society<br /> <i>G. S. Lakhina, S. Alex, B. T. Tsurutani, and W. D. Gonzalez</i> 267</p> <p>Development of Intermediate-Scale Structure in the Nighttime Equatorial Ionosphere<br /> <i>A. Bhattacharyya</i> 279</p> <p>Complex Analysis of Polar Auroras for 1996<br /> <i>James Wanliss and Joshua Peterson</i> 293</p> <p>On Self-Similar and Multifractal Models for the Scaling of Extreme Bursty Fluctuations in Space Plasmas<br /> <i>N. W. Watkins, B. Hnat, and S. C. Chapman</i> 299</p> <p><b>Section V: General</b></p> <p>Extreme Value and Record Statistics in Heavy-Tailed Processes With Long-Range Memory<br /> <i>Aicko Y. Schumann, Nicholas R. Moloney, and Jörn Davidsen</i> 315</p> <p>Extreme Event Recurrence Time Distributions and Long Memory<br /> <i>M. S. Santhanam</i> 335</p> <p>Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up, Resource-Based Vulnerability Perspective<br /> <i>Roger A. Pielke Sr., Rob Wilby, Dev Niyogi, Faisal Hossain, Koji Dairuku, Jimmy Adegoke, George Kallos, Timothy Seastedt, and Katharine Suding</i> 345</p> <p>AGU Category Index 361</p> <p>Index 363</p>

A. Surjalal Sharma University of Maryland, College Park | UMD, UMCP, University of Maryland College Park · Goddard Planetary Heliophysics Institute. His main interests are Space Plasma Physics and Nonlinear Dynamics. Current efforts include magnetospheric physics, comets and stellar variability. Previously he has contributed to the theories of laboratory plasma devices at Cornell University, Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, and Institute for Plasma Research, Gandhinagar, India.

US