Details

Super Boom


Super Boom

Why the Dow Jones Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit From It
1. Aufl.

von: Jeffrey A. Hirsch, Barry Ritholtz

16,99 €

Verlag: Wiley
Format: EPUB
Veröffentl.: 10.03.2011
ISBN/EAN: 9781118075357
Sprache: englisch
Anzahl Seiten: 208

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Beschreibungen

<b>Prosper from the profitable opportunities of the next financial market super boom</b> <p>In 1976, Yale Hirsch predicted a fifteen-year super boom—a move in the stock market of 500% or more. His forecast proved accurate as the market rose and continued upward, eventually posting growth over 1,000% just before the tech crash in 2000. In <i>Super Boom</i>, Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor in Chief of the <i>Stock Trader's Almanac</i>, unveils the next market expansion. Building on his father's research from 1976, Hirsch has discovered that meteoric rises in stock indices are due to specific catalysts predominantly outside of the financial markets.</p> <p>History has a way of repeating itself, especially in the financial markets. The American economy, and subsequently the world economy, has always existed in a cycle of boom and bust: gold, grain, oil, technology, and most recently, real estate, have all bubbled and popped. The key to investing profitably is spotting macroeconomic historical trends and positioning to reap the benefits. Step-by-step, Hirsch puts together the pieces of this puzzle by revealing the central drivers of a super boom.</p> <ul> <li>Examines how new cultural paradigm-shifting technologies, as well as peace between major wars, could fuel a super boom</li> <li>Discusses how the massive injection of money by the government, in response to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession, as well as wartime spending, will eventually create an inflationary environment</li> <li>The data and research found here is based on historical information and the boom-and-bust cycle of the past century</li> </ul> <p>As markets and economies struggle over the next several years, remember to keep your eye on the future and get ready for the coming super boom and the next 500% move in the market. With this book as your guide, you'll benefit from the insights that only Jeffrey Hirsch can provide.</p>
<b>Foreword ix</b> <p><b>Acknowledgments xiii</b></p> <p><b>PART I Anatomy of a Super Boom</b></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 1 The Boom Equation 3</b></p> <p><i>The math behind the move</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 2 A Strangled Economy 15</b></p> <p><i>From slump to powerhouse</i></p> <p><b>PART II The Fortune Tellers</b></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 3 The History of Ignorance and the Ignorance of History 37</b></p> <p><i>Dow 36,000 and the dangers of erroneous assumptions</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 4 An Argument against Financial Calamity 49</b></p> <p><i>The best case for and against all hell breaking loose</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 5 Yale Hirsch and the 500 Percent Move 57</b></p> <p><i>Discovering the boom pattern</i></p> <p><b>PART III Booms and Busts of the Twentieth Century</b></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 6 Panics, World War I, and the Roaring Twenties 81</b></p> <p><i>From the Rich Man's Panic to the first recorded super boom</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 7 Depression, World War II, and the Baby Boom 87</b></p> <p><i>The greatest generation births a boom</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 8 Vietnam, Stagflation, and the Information Revolution 95</b></p> <p><i>The greatest boom ever: bigger, faster, longer, higher</i></p> <p><b>PART IV The Prodigal Pattern Returns</b></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 9 Inflation 111</b></p> <p><i>The history and impact of the Consumer Price Index</i></p> <p><b>CHAPTER 10 Investment Ideas and Strategies 129</b></p> <p><i>How to profit now and during a super boom</i></p> <p><b>APPENDIX A Yale Hirsch's 1977 Stock Picks 149</b></p> <p><b>APPENDIX B 1977 <i>Smart Money</i> Newsletter Reprinted 161</b></p> <p><b>Key Terms 171</b></p> <p><b>About the Author 175</b></p> <p><b>Index 177</b></p>
<b>Jeffrey A. Hirsch</b> is the President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor in Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac. He worked with founder Yale Hirsch for fifteen years, taking over in 2001. He appears frequently on CNBC, CNN, Bloomberg, Fox Business, and many other national and international media outlets to discuss market cycles, seasonality, trading patterns, predictions, and historical trends. Hirsch also edits the firm's digital toolkit, Almanac Investor, a subscription-based product including investor alerts, market data, and research tools.
<b>SUPER BOOM</b> <p>"Jeff Hirsch delivers a 500% effort in <i>Super Boom</i>. Unless you're closed minded or comatose, there is a lot, lot more here than any investment reader can normally hope for. The visuals and data alone are worth many times the price."<br /> —<b>KEN FISHER</b>, founder and CEO, Fisher Investments, Forbes "Portfolio Strategy" columnist, five-time <i>New York Times</i> bestselling author</p> <p>"<i>Super Boom</i> reminds the reader of the power of compounding. DJIA 38,820 by 2025 might sound like an outrageous level, but the implied sub-9% compound annual growth rate (following a decade of decline) makes the target appear more attainable. Within these pages, Jeff demonstrates that he has learned a lot from his father and has inherited the reputation as a renowned and respected market historian."<br /> —<b>SAM STOVALL</b>, Chief Investment Strategist, Standard & Poor's Equity Research</p> <p>"As a kid I taught Jeff how to catch big rainbow trout in Montana. In <i>Super Boom</i>, he's returned the favor by showing us how to catch a monster stock market move. A must-read book."<br /> —<b>LARRY WILLIAMS</b>, trader</p>

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