Details

Stock Trader's Almanac 2024

Almanac Investor Series 57. Aufl.

von: Jeffrey A. Hirsch
35,99 €
Verlag:	Wiley
Format:	EPUB
Veröffentl.:	19.10.2023
ISBN/EAN:	9781394203222
Sprache:	englisch
Anzahl Seiten:	208

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Beschreibungen

Titelbeschreibung

57th edition of the gold standard in US stock market trend, patterns, and cycles In Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024, veteran trader and market strategist Jeffrey Hirsch delivers the latest edition of the most trusted source used by traders around the world to make sense of the complexities of the US stock market. You’ll master key cycles and trends, including the “January Barometer,” the “Santa Claus Rally,” the “Best Six Months,” and the four-year “Presidential Election Cycle” as you learn to trade and invest with confidence. You’ll explore strategies for getting a handle on increased market volatility, identifying past periods of exceptional price movement in the market, as well as streaks of positive and negative performance likely to repeat themselves. You’ll also find: <ul> <li>Month-by-month strategies that deliver reliably outsized market returns based on cyclical trends</li> <li>Key explanations and descriptions of seasonal and annual cycles that consistently repeat themselves, year after year</li> <li>Strategies and techniques that promise—and deliver—a sizeable impact on your investing bottom-line</li></ul>For 57 years, the Almanac has offered savvy investors the freshest data and most insightful advice. Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024 is the comprehensive roadmap to investing eagerly anticipated by day traders, long-term investors, and portfolio managers alike.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

The 2024 Stock Trader’s Almanac 7 Introduction to the Fifty-Seventh Edition 10 2024 Outlook 12 2024 Strategy Calendar 14 January Almanac 16 January’s First Five Days: An “Early Warning” System 18 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only 12 Significant Errors in 73 Years 20 Bulls Win When Market Hits The January Trifecta 22 February Almanac 24 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record 26 2024 Presidential Election Year Perspectives 28 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years 30 March Almanac 32 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power 34 Incumbent Party Wins & Losses 36 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool 38 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies 40 April Almanac 42 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901 44 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930 46 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 48 May Almanac 50 Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months 52 Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials 54 “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy 56 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results 58 June Almanac 60 Top Performing NASDAQ Months 62 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD-Timing 64 Triple Returns, Less Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle 66 July Almanac 68 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish 70 2022 Daily Dow Point Changes (Dow Jones Industrial Average) 72 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday 74 A Rally for All Seasons 76 August Almanac 78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning 80 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years 82 Fourth Quarter Market Magic 84 September Almanac 86 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined 88 A Correction for All Seasons 90 First-Trading-Day-Of-The-Month Phenomenon 92 October Almanac 94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays 96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar 100 Market Behavior Three Days Before and Three Days After Holidays 102 November Almanac 104 Traders Feast on Small Stocks Thanksgiving Through Santa Claus Rally 106 Trading the Thanksgiving Market 108 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After 110 December Almanac 112 Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December 114 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December 116 Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served Before Christmas 118 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall 120 2025 Strategy Calendar Directory of Trading Patterns & Databank 123 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2024 124 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2024 125 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2024 126 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2024 127 NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2024 128 Recent NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2024 129 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2024 130 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2024 131 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon 132 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 190-Year Saga Continues 133 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900 134 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/ NASDAQ Composite Since 1971 135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February 136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April 137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June 138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August 139 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October 140 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December 141 A Typical Day in the Market 142 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis 143 Tuesday & Wednesday Most Profitable Days of Week 144 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week 145 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952 146 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971 147 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks 148 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks 149 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span 150 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run 151 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1901 153 Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1930 154 NASDAQ Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1971 155 Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1979 156 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 158 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950 160 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 162 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 164 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 166 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971 168 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971 170 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 171 Russell 1000 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 172 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 173 Russell 2000 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 174 10 Best Days by Percent and Point 175 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point 176 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point 177 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point 178 10 Best Months by Percent and Point 179 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point 180 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point 181 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point 182 10 Best Years by Percent and Point 183 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point Strategy Planning and Record Section 185 Portfolio at Start of 2024 186 Additional Purchases 188 Short-Term Transactions 190 Long-Term Transactions 192 Interest/Dividends Received During 2024/Brokerage Account Data 2024 193 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2024 195 Weekly Indicator Data 2024 197 Monthly Indicator Data 2024 198 Portfolio at End of 2024 199 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations 200 Individual Retirement Accounts: Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised 201 G.M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival 202 G.M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist

Back cover copy

PRAISE FOR STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC “Traders and investors alike look forward to getting their copy of the Stock Trader’s Almanac each year. It’s the perfect way to set our expectations for what’s to come and to harvest the lessons of all that’s come before.” —Downtown Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management and star of CNBC’s The Halftime Report “Investors need to respect the seasonals and other historical factors that can influence stocks. The Stock Trader’s Almanac is one of the best references for these factors and cycles.” —Thomas J. Lee, CFA, Managing Partner and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors “I do not use seasonality in my work yet I find myself reaching for the Stock Trader’s Almanac often. It’s more than seasonality: it’s data, it’s sentiment, it’s a must-have if you’re involved in markets.” —Helene Meisler, Columnist for TheStreet and Real Money, 40-year market technician and equity trader “The Stock Trader’s Almanac gives you a daily guide to 2024 … a year in advance. I’ve been reading it since the first 1968 edition was published.” —Larry Williams, Legendary stock, futures and commodities trader and author “Churchill told us, ‘The longer you can look back, the farther you can look forward.’ Fortunately, Jeff does this for us year in and year out. The Stock Trader’s Almanac is an invaluable resource.” —Ryan Detrick, CMT, Chief Market Strategist, Carson Group “The essential guide that deservedly sits on every professional trade desk on Wall Street. Active traders who have overlooked the Almanac are just asking for trouble.” —Barry Ritholtz, Chairman & Chief Investment Officer, Ritholtz Wealth Management, and host of Bloomberg Radio’s Masters in Business podcast “The Stock Trader’s Almanac is a treasure trove of solid-gold investment nuggets. No serious trader should have it far from his hands.” —John Mauldin, author of Bull’s Eye Investing and Thoughts From the Frontline “A venerable guide for Wall Street’s farmers to plant and harvest investments according to the season.” —Jonathan Burton, Money and Investing Editor, MarketWatch “Whether I am researching seasonality trends or old Wall Street sayings, or am simply in need of some good old-fashioned investment horse sense, I start with the Stock Trader’s Almanac. I have been a student of Yale and Jeffrey Hirsch’s Almanac research for years, and look forward to future lessons.” —Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist, CFRA Research “Information is key to successful investing, and investors will find the Almanac a chockablock source of need-to-know stuff.” —Steve Forbes, Chairman and Editor-in-Chief of Forbes Media “Historical price patterns continue to work because human nature doesn’t change, and neither does the law of supply and demand. Study past successful stocks if you want to know what future ones will look like. Stock Trader’s Almanac is all about historical facts.” —William J. O’Neil, late chairman and founder, Investor’s Business Daily (1933-2023)